Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pahlsson wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 51.9% vs Bozak 54.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 67.3%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 84.3%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 57.6%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Pahlsson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pahlsson
Bozak
Last 6: Pahlsson 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Pahlsson
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Pahlsson
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Pahlsson
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (934)
54.2% (962)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
57.9% (266)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (332)
52.1% (188)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Pahlsson shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Bozak
Home
56.5% (628)
58.6% (732)
Away
47.8% (670)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Pahlsson
Bozak
P1
55.9%
54.1%
P2
49.4%
55.0%
P3
50.8%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
65.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |