Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pahlsson wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 52.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 78.3%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 82.9%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 58.3%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Pahlsson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Pahlsson
Bozak
Last 8: Pahlsson 1-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Pahlsson
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Pahlsson
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Pahlsson
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,716)
53.7% (9,596)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (35)
55.2% (1,990)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (548)
48.0% (1,094)
+1.8%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (680).
Pahlsson shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Bozak
Home
54.4% (1,136)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.3% (1,188)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Pahlsson
Bozak
P1
54.6%
53.2%
P2
50.7%
52.8%
P3
51.8%
54.5%
OT
44.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |