Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Laughton wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 47.5% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 83.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 63.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Laughton
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Laughton
Aho
Last 10: Laughton 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Laughton
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
4
1
Laughton
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Laughton
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (719)
48.5% (778)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
63.4% (191)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (229)
50.8% (65)
-5.8%
On power play, Aho has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Laughton shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Laughton
Aho
Home
50.2% (520)
51.3% (530)
Away
44.5% (557)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Laughton
Aho
P1
44.2%
50.0%
P2
49.1%
51.3%
P3
48.4%
52.1%
OT
36.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 29, 2022 | OT | 02:52 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |