Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Couturier 53.6% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 85.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 68.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Miller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Miller
Couturier
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Miller
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
53.9% (792)
+8.1%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
62.9% (70)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
51.3% (234)
-0.6%
On even strength, Miller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Miller
Couturier
Home
63.0% (416)
51.4% (541)
Away
60.1% (363)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Miller
Couturier
P1
60.7%
56.0%
P2
63.9%
52.6%
P3
60.2%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
64.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |