Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 59.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Rossi
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Rossi
Couturier
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
7
2
Rossi
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
5
Rossi
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Rossi
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
52.5% (11,097)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
59.7% (1,280)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
48.5% (1,823)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Rossi
Couturier
Home
47.8% (1,225)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Rossi
Couturier
P1
47.1%
52.6%
P2
44.7%
52.6%
P3
48.2%
52.9%
OT
45.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |