Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 56.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Couturier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Couturier
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Couturier
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (792)
52.6% (464)
+1.3%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
100.0% (1)
-37.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
46.5% (155)
+4.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Couturier shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Couturier
Kuraly
Home
51.4% (541)
55.9% (322)
Away
56.4% (555)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Couturier
Kuraly
P1
56.0%
55.9%
P2
52.6%
46.7%
P3
54.3%
50.7%
OT
44.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |