Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.6% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 52.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 88.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 68.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Couturier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Couturier
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Couturier
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
0
Couturier
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (792)
42.6% (54)
+11.3%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
33.3% (6)
+29.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
40.0% (15)
+11.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Couturier shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Couturier
Jarvis
Home
51.4% (541)
43.6% (39)
Away
56.4% (555)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Couturier
Jarvis
P1
56.0%
36.0%
P2
52.6%
48.3%
P3
54.3%
36.8%
OT
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 03:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |