Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.6% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 76.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 59.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Couturier
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Couturier
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Couturier
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (792)
44.6% (661)
+9.3%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
48.4% (95)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
33.3% (33)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Couturier
Thompson
Home
51.4% (541)
45.7% (411)
Away
56.4% (555)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Couturier
Thompson
P1
56.0%
47.7%
P2
52.6%
45.7%
P3
54.3%
40.5%
OT
44.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |