Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.6%). Couturier wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 75.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 66.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Couturier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Couturier
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (792)
53.2% (201)
+0.7%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
60.0% (25)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
44.4% (9)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Couturier shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Couturier
Seguin
Home
51.4% (541)
56.3% (126)
Away
56.4% (555)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Couturier
Seguin
P1
56.0%
44.3%
P2
52.6%
52.1%
P3
54.3%
62.5%
OT
44.1%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |