Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 79.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 81.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 76.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Couturier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couturier
Gourde
Last 5: Couturier 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Couturier
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Couturier
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (792)
47.2% (687)
+6.7%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
45.0% (20)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
33.0% (88)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Couturier shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Couturier
Gourde
Home
51.4% (541)
44.4% (356)
Away
56.4% (555)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Couturier
Gourde
P1
56.0%
42.2%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
54.3%
44.5%
OT
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |