Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 22-7 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 98.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 86.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 96.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
22
(29 meetings)
7
22
Hughes
Kuraly
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
1
Hughes
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
13
Hughes
Kuraly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
8
Hughes
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
51.6% (5,161)
-15.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
56.4% (101)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.4% (1,091)
-13.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
36.8% (1,681)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
36.9%
51.2%
P2
33.4%
50.0%
P3
38.2%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
34.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |