Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.5%). Kuraly wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 51.0% vs Aho 50.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Kuraly
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuraly
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kuraly
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (464)
50.5% (878)
+2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.5% (144)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (155)
44.3% (61)
+2.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Kuraly shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Aho
Home
55.9% (322)
53.8% (571)
Away
46.0% (298)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Kuraly
Aho
P1
55.9%
49.0%
P2
46.7%
51.7%
P3
50.7%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |