Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 51.0% vs Jost 44.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Kuraly
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuraly
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (464)
39.5% (86)
+13.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (155)
42.9% (7)
+3.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Kuraly shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Jost
Home
55.9% (322)
38.9% (54)
Away
46.0% (298)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Kuraly
Jost
P1
55.9%
42.4%
P2
46.7%
37.8%
P3
50.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |