Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuraly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 51.0% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 63.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Kuraly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kuraly
Trocheck
Last 10: Kuraly 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Kuraly
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
0
Kuraly
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Kuraly
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (464)
58.0% (666)
-5.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.8% (165)
+35.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (155)
43.4% (152)
+3.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Kuraly shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Trocheck
Home
55.9% (322)
55.3% (436)
Away
46.0% (298)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Kuraly
Trocheck
P1
55.9%
56.4%
P2
46.7%
58.7%
P3
50.7%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |