Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.4% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 72.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Kuraly
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kuraly
Smith
Last 6: Kuraly 1-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (5,161)
51.6% (5,265)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.4% (101)
51.2% (342)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,091)
45.3% (985)
-0.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Kuraly shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Smith
Home
52.1% (3,205)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.8% (3,149)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Kuraly
Smith
P1
51.2%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
50.2%
51.9%
OT
52.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |