Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Monahan 51.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Shaw
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Shaw
Monahan
Last 5: Shaw 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Shaw
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
50.8% (723)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
53.3% (152)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
46.2% (13)
-4.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Monahan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Shaw
Monahan
Home
50.0% (152)
52.5% (421)
Away
45.3% (232)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Shaw
Monahan
P1
44.8%
51.4%
P2
46.0%
52.3%
P3
50.4%
50.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |