Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Monahan 52.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 74.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 59.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Lizotte
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lizotte
Monahan
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lizotte
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Lizotte
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
53.0% (874)
-0.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
54.7% (161)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
47.5% (101)
-4.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Monahan
Home
44.2% (242)
53.8% (558)
Away
56.0% (234)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Lizotte
Monahan
P1
49.6%
49.5%
P2
46.9%
54.8%
P3
52.6%
52.8%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |