Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 48.4% vs Monahan 49.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 64.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 62.3%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 64.8%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Soderberg
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Soderberg
Monahan
Last 8: Soderberg 1-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Soderberg
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Soderberg
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Soderberg
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (718)
49.0% (1,435)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.2% (281)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.9% (114)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Soderberg is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Soderberg shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Monahan
Home
51.0% (406)
51.2% (936)
Away
45.0% (360)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Soderberg
Monahan
P1
44.1%
48.8%
P2
49.4%
48.9%
P3
51.5%
50.2%
OT
47.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |