Connor McMichael vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 93.5%
Defensive zone
McMichael 85.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 91.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
McMichael
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
McMichael
Monahan
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
11
McMichael
Monahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
McMichael
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
McMichael
Monahan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
51.1% (11,407)
-7.8%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
53.6% (2,582)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
45.9% (772)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
McMichael
Monahan
Home
42.6% (976)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
43.3% (922)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
McMichael
Monahan
P1
43.3%
51.0%
P2
43.1%
51.7%
P3
42.1%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |