Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.7% vs Monahan 52.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.7%
Defensive zone
Finley 70.2%
Neutral zone
Finley 50.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Finley
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Finley
Monahan
Last 6: Finley 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Finley
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (270)
53.0% (874)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.7% (161)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
47.5% (101)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Finley shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Finley
Monahan
Home
53.8% (199)
53.8% (558)
Away
46.2% (117)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Finley
Monahan
P1
54.7%
49.5%
P2
47.4%
54.8%
P3
51.8%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jack Finley |