Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Monahan 52.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 63.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 64.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Beniers
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beniers
Monahan
Last 5: Beniers 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Beniers
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Beniers
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
53.0% (874)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
54.7% (161)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
47.5% (101)
+2.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Beniers
Monahan
Home
52.4% (460)
53.8% (558)
Away
45.1% (470)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Beniers
Monahan
P1
47.5%
49.5%
P2
50.6%
54.8%
P3
47.6%
52.8%
OT
62.5%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |