Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.7% vs Monahan 52.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Domi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Domi
Monahan
Last 7: Domi 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Domi
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Domi
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (290)
53.0% (874)
-3.0%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
54.7% (161)
+5.3%
On power play, Domi has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Domi shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Domi
Monahan
Home
51.1% (184)
53.8% (558)
Away
50.7% (136)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Domi
Monahan
P1
46.7%
49.5%
P2
51.3%
54.8%
P3
55.1%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |