Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 66.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Greig
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Greig
Monahan
Last 10: Greig 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
3
Greig
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
6
5
Greig
Monahan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
1
Greig
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
45.9% (772)
+1.3%
On power play, Greig has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Greig shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Greig
Monahan
Home
49.9% (688)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.0% (708)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Greig
Monahan
P1
46.0%
51.0%
P2
51.8%
51.7%
P3
49.1%
51.0%
OT
28.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |