Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 83.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 61.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Poehling
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Poehling
Monahan
Last 10: Poehling 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
13
Poehling
Monahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
6
1
Poehling
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Poehling
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,780)
51.1% (11,407)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
53.6% (2,582)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (635)
45.9% (772)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Poehling shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Poehling
Monahan
Home
49.3% (1,706)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
47.2% (1,802)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Poehling
Monahan
P1
50.8%
51.0%
P2
47.1%
51.7%
P3
47.2%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | OT | 01:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |