Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Monahan wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.5% vs Crosby 55.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 83.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 72.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Monahan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Monahan
Crosby
Last 10: Monahan 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Monahan
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Monahan
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
6
Monahan
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (874)
53.6% (1,008)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.7% (161)
65.0% (246)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
60.0% (15)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Monahan shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Monahan
Crosby
Home
53.8% (558)
56.9% (675)
Away
51.7% (578)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Monahan
Crosby
P1
49.5%
55.6%
P2
54.8%
53.3%
P3
52.8%
58.7%
OT
61.9%
54.2%
Final 5 min
53.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |