Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 75-49 in 124 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 73.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 74.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Monahan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
75
(124 meetings)
49
75
Monahan
Crosby
Last 10: Monahan 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
8
30
Monahan
Crosby
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
20
26
Monahan
Crosby
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
21
19
Monahan
Crosby
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,407)
52.8% (18,014)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.6% (2,582)
57.5% (4,738)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (772)
47.0% (766)
-1.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Monahan shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,868).
Home / Away
Monahan
Crosby
Home
52.3% (7,387)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
50.2% (7,374)
52.0% (11,539)
By Period
Monahan
Crosby
P1
51.0%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
53.9%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
OT
53.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |