Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.0%). Monahan wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.5% vs Stützle 52.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 72.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.9%
Neutral zone
Stützle 53.7%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Monahan
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Monahan
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (874)
52.7% (501)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.7% (161)
54.2% (59)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
56.3% (32)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Monahan shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Monahan
Stützle
Home
53.8% (558)
51.9% (285)
Away
51.7% (578)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Monahan
Stützle
P1
49.5%
51.6%
P2
54.8%
55.4%
P3
52.8%
52.2%
OT
61.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |