Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.2% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 81.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 81.1%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 51.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Monahan
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Monahan
Dellandrea
Last 9: Monahan 4-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
2
Monahan
Dellandrea
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
2
Monahan
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Monahan
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,407)
50.5% (1,108)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.6% (2,582)
59.4% (32)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (772)
43.4% (318)
+2.5%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Monahan shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Monahan
Dellandrea
Home
52.3% (7,387)
49.4% (741)
Away
50.2% (7,374)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Monahan
Dellandrea
P1
51.0%
49.7%
P2
51.7%
48.6%
P3
51.0%
49.4%
OT
53.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |