Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.5% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Monahan
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (874)
58.5% (135)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.7% (161)
80.0% (5)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
44.4% (18)
+3.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Monahan shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Monahan
Karlsson
Home
53.8% (558)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.7% (578)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Monahan
Karlsson
P1
49.5%
54.4%
P2
54.8%
66.7%
P3
52.8%
51.9%
OT
61.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%