Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.5% vs Trenin 44.8% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 66.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 70.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Monahan
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Monahan
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Trenin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (874)
40.7% (91)
+12.3%
Power Play
54.7% (161)
0.0% (1)
+54.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
40.0% (20)
+7.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Monahan shoots left. Trenin is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Monahan
Trenin
Home
53.8% (558)
45.5% (55)
Away
51.7% (578)
35.1% (57)
By Period
Monahan
Trenin
P1
49.5%
40.4%
P2
54.8%
38.7%
P3
52.8%
41.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |