Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.9% vs Aho 51.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Evans
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Evans
Aho
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
17
Evans
Aho
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
10
0
Evans
Aho
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Evans
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (3,567)
50.1% (6,415)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
59.1% (1,297)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (1,179)
46.0% (446)
+0.8%
On even strength, Evans has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Evans is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,565).
Evans shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Evans
Aho
Home
53.2% (2,509)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
50.5% (2,307)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Evans
Aho
P1
54.0%
51.2%
P2
50.5%
52.1%
P3
51.6%
50.8%
OT
42.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
51.9%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |