Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 35.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 43.6% vs Aho 52.4% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 88.4%
Defensive zone
Dach 81.6%
Neutral zone
Dach 82.6%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Dach
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dach
Aho
Last 5: Dach 0-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Dach
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Dach
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (157)
52.4% (622)
-9.7%
Power Play
31.3% (32)
60.7% (28)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.4% (42)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dach is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Dach shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Dach
Aho
Home
40.5% (111)
54.9% (359)
Away
40.0% (80)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Dach
Aho
P1
35.4%
51.6%
P2
39.7%
53.3%
P3
45.6%
52.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |