Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.5%). Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.2% vs Aho 50.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 68.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 57.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 59.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Rossi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Rossi
Aho
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
2
Rossi
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
1
Rossi
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (428)
50.5% (878)
+1.8%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
53.5% (144)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
44.3% (61)
-7.3%
On power play, Aho has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rossi is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Rossi shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Rossi
Aho
Home
50.0% (260)
53.8% (571)
Away
50.4% (232)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Rossi
Aho
P1
55.0%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
51.7%
P3
47.7%
50.3%
OT
40.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.2%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |