Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Aho 54.9% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 85.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 79.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 77.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Rossi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Rossi
Aho
Last 10: Rossi 1-9 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Rossi
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
4
Rossi
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Rossi
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
54.5% (870)
-8.0%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
62.4% (266)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
37.1% (62)
+12.9%
On power play, Aho has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Rossi
Aho
Home
47.5% (520)
53.9% (603)
Away
46.0% (472)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Rossi
Aho
P1
47.8%
54.1%
P2
44.2%
55.0%
P3
48.7%
57.4%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |