Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Aho 52.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 68.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kuraly
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Kuraly
Aho
Last 10: Kuraly 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
10
Kuraly
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Kuraly
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
51.6% (819)
+0.7%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
58.4% (173)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
46.3% (67)
-7.1%
On power play, Aho has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Kuraly shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Aho
Home
50.3% (680)
53.9% (568)
Away
48.5% (590)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Kuraly
Aho
P1
49.5%
55.4%
P2
49.6%
51.2%
P3
49.0%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |