Sebastian Aho vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Aho wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.5% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 55.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 70.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Aho
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
16
(33 meetings)
17
16
Aho
Trocheck
Last 10: Aho 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
10
5
Aho
Trocheck
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
5
Aho
Trocheck
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
6
Aho
Trocheck
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (878)
58.0% (666)
-7.5%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
64.8% (165)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
43.4% (152)
+0.9%
On power play, Trocheck has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Aho shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Aho
Trocheck
Home
53.8% (571)
55.3% (436)
Away
46.9% (512)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Aho
Trocheck
P1
49.0%
56.4%
P2
51.7%
58.7%
P3
50.3%
55.5%
OT
58.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 03:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |