Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Jarvis wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarvis 42.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarvis 73.3%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 82.8%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 82.9%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Jarvis
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Jarvis
Crosby
Last 10: Jarvis 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Jarvis
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jarvis
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarvis
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (354)
52.8% (18,031)
-11.0%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
57.4% (4,741)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (157)
47.0% (766)
-8.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Jarvis shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,671).
Home / Away
Jarvis
Crosby
Home
43.8% (336)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
38.4% (294)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Jarvis
Crosby
P1
39.5%
53.6%
P2
39.5%
53.8%
P3
45.8%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
38.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |