Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Pinto 50.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 81.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 64.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
McTavish
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
McTavish
Pinto
Last 10: McTavish 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
6
McTavish
Pinto
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
9
McTavish
Pinto
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
3
McTavish
Pinto
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
50.7% (2,752)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
54.4% (90)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
45.6% (239)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
McTavish
Pinto
Home
49.8% (1,680)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
McTavish
Pinto
P1
50.0%
48.4%
P2
47.7%
51.9%
P3
48.4%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |