Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Frost wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.3% vs Pinto 51.1% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 53.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 93.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 75.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Frost
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Frost
Pinto
Last 9: Frost 3-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Frost
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
3
Frost
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (745)
50.5% (556)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.5% (172)
68.0% (25)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
51.1% (94)
+37.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Frost shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Frost
Pinto
Home
57.3% (497)
50.0% (310)
Away
56.6% (429)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Frost
Pinto
P1
60.1%
51.8%
P2
56.0%
49.8%
P3
54.7%
53.1%
OT
63.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |