Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 54.2% vs Pinto 51.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 61.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 72.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Carrick
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carrick
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (470)
50.5% (556)
+5.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
68.0% (25)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (58)
51.1% (94)
-1.1%
On even strength, Carrick has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Carrick shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Carrick
Pinto
Home
58.6% (261)
50.0% (310)
Away
51.5% (270)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Carrick
Pinto
P1
55.9%
51.8%
P2
53.5%
49.8%
P3
55.6%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |