Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 51.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 87.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 63.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 64.0%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Pinto
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pinto
Wright
Last 6: Pinto 2-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Pinto
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Pinto
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (556)
39.7% (461)
+10.8%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
41.0% (61)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (94)
0.0% (1)
+51.1%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Pinto shoots right. Wright is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Pinto
Wright
Home
50.0% (310)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.3% (365)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Pinto
Wright
P1
51.8%
40.2%
P2
49.8%
36.7%
P3
53.1%
42.9%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |