Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 51.1% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 93.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 53.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 80.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Pinto
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Pinto
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
0
Pinto
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (556)
57.1% (368)
-6.6%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
55.2% (96)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (94)
50.0% (10)
+1.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Pinto shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Pinto
Stamkos
Home
50.0% (310)
53.9% (230)
Away
52.3% (365)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Pinto
Stamkos
P1
51.8%
56.7%
P2
49.8%
54.1%
P3
53.1%
59.2%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |