Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.2% vs Kozak 48.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 52.4%
Defensive zone
Kozak 53.9%
Neutral zone
Kozak 53.5%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Pinto
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pinto
Kozak
Last 6: Pinto 3-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Pinto
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,576)
48.2% (382)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.4% (90)
57.1% (7)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (218)
46.9% (32)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,056).
Pinto shoots right. Kozak is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Pinto
Kozak
Home
50.8% (1,444)
47.2% (216)
Away
49.7% (1,440)
49.3% (205)
By Period
Pinto
Kozak
P1
48.2%
55.1%
P2
52.1%
43.7%
P3
50.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.5%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
44.0%▼
46.0%
50.2%
Kozak
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |