Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.4% vs Kozak 48.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 51.8%
Defensive zone
Kozak 58.8%
Neutral zone
Kozak 54.3%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Pinto
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pinto
Kozak
Last 6: Pinto 3-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Pinto
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,752)
48.3% (431)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.4% (90)
62.5% (8)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (239)
48.9% (45)
-3.3%
On power play, Kozak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Pinto shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Pinto
Kozak
Home
51.1% (1,510)
47.6% (229)
Away
49.6% (1,571)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Pinto
Kozak
P1
48.4%
54.4%
P2
51.9%
45.7%
P3
50.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |