Scouting Report
Fedor Svechkov holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Wright 41.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 56.6%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 70.0%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 56.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Svechkov
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Svechkov
Wright
Last 6: Svechkov 4-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Svechkov
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
39.7% (461)
+2.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
41.0% (61)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Svechkov has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Svechkov is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Svechkov shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Wright
Home
39.7% (247)
39.5% (286)
Away
44.0% (234)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Svechkov
Wright
P1
36.1%
40.2%
P2
44.5%
36.7%
P3
44.1%
42.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |