Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.2% vs Wright 41.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 74.9%
Defensive zone
Wright 81.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 80.4%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Rossi
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rossi
Wright
Last 7: Rossi 1-6 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Rossi
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
3
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (428)
39.7% (461)
+12.6%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
41.0% (61)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
0.0% (1)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Rossi is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Rossi shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Rossi
Wright
Home
50.0% (260)
39.5% (286)
Away
50.4% (232)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Rossi
Wright
P1
55.0%
40.2%
P2
47.9%
36.7%
P3
47.7%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.2%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |