Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 62.3%
Defensive zone
Wright 57.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 69.2%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Jankowski
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jankowski
Wright
Last 6: Jankowski 2-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Jankowski
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
39.7% (461)
+14.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
41.0% (61)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
0.0% (1)
+54.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Wright
Home
53.2% (331)
39.5% (286)
Away
54.2% (284)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Jankowski
Wright
P1
52.7%
40.2%
P2
55.8%
36.7%
P3
52.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Shane Wright |