Scouting Report
Oliver Kapanen holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 57.4%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 84.2%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 74.0%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Kapanen
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
Last 5: Kapanen 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (527)
39.7% (461)
+6.8%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
41.0% (61)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
0.0% (1)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kapanen is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Kapanen shoots right. Wright is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Wright
Home
47.0% (315)
39.5% (286)
Away
46.2% (292)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Kapanen
Wright
P1
41.6%
40.2%
P2
50.7%
36.7%
P3
47.6%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Shane Wright |