Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wright wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 43.3% vs Zegras 39.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 50.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 75.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 59.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Wright
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Wright
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
1
Wright
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (1,326)
39.0% (1,703)
+3.7%
Power Play
45.1% (133)
38.5% (148)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
25.0% (8)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Wright shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Wright
Zegras
Home
44.2% (746)
40.5% (908)
Away
41.4% (719)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Wright
Zegras
P1
44.5%
40.0%
P2
40.5%
38.6%
P3
44.0%
38.2%
OT
20.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |