Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 49.6% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 57.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.0%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 51.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Horcoff
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Horcoff
Smith
Last 10: Horcoff 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
4
3
Horcoff
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
0
Horcoff
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horcoff
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (3,133)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.0%
Power Play
51.4% (555)
51.2% (342)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (567)
45.3% (985)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Horcoff shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Smith
Home
51.1% (2,199)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.0% (2,104)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Horcoff
Smith
P1
48.2%
49.9%
P2
49.5%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
51.9%
OT
51.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | OT | 01:16 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |