Scouting Report
Sheldon Dries holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dries 49.4% vs Zegras 39.5% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 83.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 70.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 82.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Dries
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dries
Zegras
Last 5: Dries 0-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Dries
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Dries
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Dries
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dries
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (544)
39.0% (1,703)
+9.5%
Power Play
54.3% (70)
38.5% (148)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
25.0% (8)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Dries is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Dries shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Dries
Zegras
Home
52.6% (363)
40.5% (908)
Away
45.1% (288)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Dries
Zegras
P1
46.7%
40.0%
P2
51.4%
38.6%
P3
49.5%
38.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.3%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |